| brooksmarlin ( @ 2008-03-05 11:16:00 |
| Current location: | 60610 |
| Current mood: | |
| Current music: | Ol' Dirty Bastard - Shimmy Shimmy Ya |
Hillary Clinton needs to drop out
In the interests of full disclosure, I hate Hillary Clinton's guts. I want to punch her in the face every time I see her. For some reasons why I hate her, see here, here and here. You don't pull that shit in a primary campaign unless you care about nobody but yourself.
Despite what the Clinton campaign is saying about the results last night, nothing has changed from where things were before Tuesday, which is disappointing given that I hoped Obama would have put her away. When all the Texas caucus delegates get allotted he's still gonna have the same lead he did before. Hillary has gained no ground even after the huge firewall states she was counting on have voted.
This race can't go to all the way to Pennsylvania next month. The campaigning will be weeks of a brutal slog, especially since Clinton has decided to go negative, and Obama can't help but retaliate (I hope...). All it will end up doing is weaken the eventual nominee. So DNC Chairman Howard Dean and the superdelegates have to step in and throw all their support to Obama. He has won more states. He leads in the popular vote (even including Michigan and Florida!). And most importantly, he has built an insurmountable pledged delegate lead. Let me show you some things:
http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=p
After Super Tuesday, somebody from the Obama campaign "leaked" an internal spreadsheet outlining what they thought the results would be of all the rest of the primaries, and showing that Obama would enter the convention with a delegate lead. This sheet has proven to be remarkably accurate, in fact it has even consistently underrated his chances. I've been keeping it updated with the real delegate counts from all those races as they happened (columns H, I, J), and as you can see, Obama is 43 delegates ahead of his own early estimates (the OH and TX numbers are preliminary, of course). So this here is a roadmap of how things will likely go. Hillary is not going to catch up.
http://www.slate.com/features/delegateco
In fact, it is essentially impossible for her to catch up, even if she runs the table. Go ahead, plug in last night's numbers on Slate, then have Hillary get 55%'s for the rest of the states. Hell, give her 60% in Penn. and Puerto Rico. She still can't do it. She can't even do it if she wins every state with 60%.
Dean and the SD's have to make a choice. They can choose Barack Obama, or they can chose the candidate who has less delegates, less votes, raised less money, has less support among independents and wavering Republicans, and whom 40% of the country has said they will never vote for - Hillary Clinton.
Selecting Hillary Clinton would be a disaster, it would stink of a backroom deal that overrode (overrided?) the will of the voters. It would suck the oxygen out of the Democrats, depress voter turnout in November, and very likely lead to a McCain victory. It would instill (even more) in the minds of Americans that the Dems are a party of dumbass chickens who couldn't find their dick with two hands and a map. Her continued insistence on moving the goal posts and remaining in this race is not for the good of her party or the American people, but merely to serve her own bloated ego.